Lughaidh wrote:
but the number of Irish speakers hasn't ceased to decrease since the independence...
Yes, but the process of decline may have slowed from what it would otherwise have been. This includes a counterfactual, so we can't know what would have been.
Even if you consider the fact that people like Peig Sayers did speak English. Even 100 years ago, most Gaeltacht areas were at least bilingual - you could easily have seen a death of the language as a community language in the 1920s - and yet it has soldiered on, in a weaker and weaker form - but it has survived.
I'm not clear why some apparently strong Gaeltacht areas, like Mayo, did just go and collapse. What causes some areas to do better than others even under the current policy mix? Is it local enthusiasm or what? Not all areas are declining at the same rate.
Actually, I think the withdrawal of the deontas may have a large effect on the Gaeltacht. And then the political pressure will be on to scrub round the Gaeltacht concept - and bring in the fact that there are native speakers in all counties - e.g. Gaeltacht natives who moved there, children of Gaeltacht natives in Dublin, neo-natives (children of people who learned the CO), as well as fluent learners, including people who attended Gaelscoil and enthusiasts who have attained fluency, albeit not necesarily in a traditional dialect. So then the census will ask everyone in Ireland, "do you use Irish at least once a day outside the education system?" and you will have your new "figure" for "native speakers"...
In any case, it is hard to ignore the fact that the Official CO movement largely ignores the Gaeltacht - and some of them are overtly hostile to the Gaeltacht ("I will NOT be told by boggers what to speak" - is what some of them say) - and so we are moving into a new phase where the language movement, probably wrongly, thinks it doesn't need the Gaeltacht.